Altseason: The Waiting Game
The world of cryptocurrency is buzzing with excitement for the next “altseason.” This is when alternative cryptocurrencies, or altcoins, suddenly shoot up in value. But why hasn’t this happened yet? Let’s find out what’s holding back altcoins and when we might see this altseason.
What is Altseason?
Altseason is a short period when investors shift their focus from Bitcoin to other cryptocurrencies, causing their prices to skyrocket[3]. It’s like a wild ride with high ups and downs. Historically, altseasons happen after Bitcoin’s price has gone up a lot, and investors look for more profitable opportunities in other coins[3].
What’s Going On in the Market Now?
Right now, Bitcoin is super strong, with nearly 60% of the entire cryptocurrency market[1]. For altseason to start, Bitcoin’s share usually needs to drop below 50%[1]. This means more people are interested in altcoins instead of Bitcoin.
Bitcoin’s Strong Presence: A Roadblock
Bitcoin’s power is a big roadblock to altseason. When the market is going down, people often move their money to Bitcoin because they think it’s safer, making Bitcoin’s share bigger[1]. But when the market is going up, Bitcoin’s price growth can attract more money, making it even stronger[1].
Ethereum and the ETH/BTC Pair
Another important sign is the ETH/BTC pair. During altseason, this pair usually goes up as Ethereum gets more valuable compared to Bitcoin[1]. But since 2024, this pair has dropped a lot, from $0.6 to around $0.28 in February 2025[1]. This means altseason hasn’t started yet.
What Experts Say About Altseason
Experts like Ki Young Ju from CryptoQuant think we’ll have a “selective alt season” in 2025. This means only certain altcoins with strong foundations, like those with ETF stories or good projects, will do better[5]. Altcoins like XRP, Solana (SOL), and Litecoin (LTC) might be the winners this time[5].
ETFs and Sustainable Projects
If exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that target altcoins get approved, they could attract big investments, helping these altcoins grow[3][5]. Also, projects that keep people’s interest and have strong support are more likely to succeed[5].
Market Volatility and Regulations
Market ups and downs, and changes in rules, can greatly affect when and how long altseasons last[3]. Recent things like the “Trump Effect” and possible changes in interest rates by the Federal Reserve could influence how investors behave and what market trends we see[2][3].
Waiting for the Next Altseason
So, what’s the bottom line?
- Bitcoin’s share needs to drop below 50% for altseason to start[1].
- The ETH/BTC pair needs to go up for altseason to begin[1].
- Only strong altcoins with ETF stories or good projects are expected to do well[5].
- Market ups and downs, regulations, and other factors can affect when and how long altseasons last[3].
As the cryptocurrency world keeps changing, the excitement for altseason remains high. Even though current conditions suggest we might have to wait, expert predictions and market signs point to a possible shift in investor interest towards altcoins. Only time will tell if this will lead to a full-blown altseason or just a more picky bull run.
—
Sources:
– cryptonews.com
– namecoinnews.com
– tangem.com
– thecryptobasic.com